This paper provides two specification tests for the system of spatial autoregressive model of order m . We derive the theoretical limit distributions and show in a detailed Monte Carlo simulation study that the tests result in reasonable sized testing procedures with large power. In the...

This paper provides two specification tests for the system of spatial autoregressive model of order m . We derive the theoretical limit distributions and show in a detailed Monte Carlo simulation study that the tests result in reasonable sized testing procedures with large power. In the...

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution. Hence, the data is a truncated empirical process that we...

This paper proposes a general method to handle forecasts exposed to behavioral bias by finding appropriate outside views, in our case corporate sales forecasts of analysts. The idea is to find reference classes, that is, peer groups, for each analyzed company separately that share similarities...

Various consistency proofs for the kernel density estimator have been developed over the last few decades. Important milestones are the pointwise consistency and almost sure uniform convergence with a fixed bandwidth on the one hand and the rate of convergence with a fixed or even a variable...

We propose a monitoring procedure to detect a structural change from stationary to integrated behavior. When the procedure is applied to the errors of a relationship between integrated series it thus monitors a structural change from a cointegrating relationship to a spurious regression. The...

We propose a specification test for a wide range of parametric models for the conditional distribution function of an outcome variable given a vector of covariates. The test is based on the Cramer-von Mises distance between an unrestricted estimate of the joint distribution function of the data,...

From the inventory of the health insurer AOK in 2004, we draw a sample of a quarter million people and follow each person's health claims continuously until 2013. Our aim is to estimate the effect of a stroke on the dementia onset probability for Germans born in the first half of the 20th...

From the inventory of the health insurer AOK in 2004, we draw a sample of a quarter million people and follow each person’s health claims continuously until 2013. Our aim is to estimate the effect of a stroke on the dementia onset probability for Germans born in the first half of the 20th...