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We examine the predictability of 299 capital market anomalies enhanced by 30 machine learning approaches and over 250 models in a dataset with more than 500 million firm-month anomaly observations. We find significant monthly (out-of-sample) returns of around 1.8–2.0%, and over 80% of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015191612
Research Question - Can the F-Score predict the stock market returns in the cross section of international stock markets? Motivation - The majority of the literature, in the area of the F-Score metric, has examined whether it can be used to predict future financial profitability, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015196243
Stock price determination is one of the main issues involved in the acquisition of companies. The transparency and high volume of the stock market make it possible to ascertain valuation multiples. In the case of privately-held agrifood companies, valuation multiples are scarce and barely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494457
We propose a novel method to forecast corporate earnings, which combines the accuracy of analysts’ forecasts with the unbiasedness of a cross-sectional model. We build on recent insights from the earnings forecasts literature to improve analysts’ forecasts in two ways: reducing their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014504005
This paper uses analysts' forecasts to estimate a share's equity duration, a measure of a company's average cash-flow maturity. We find that short duration equity is associated with high expected and realized returns, which cannot be attributed to the shares' systematic risk exposure as implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310140
Classical single-factor comparable company valuation (CCV) like e.g. valuation using the price-earnings ratio is associated with several shortcomings. The two most important are the non-applicability of negative values in the basis of reference and the high requirements to the qualitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297342
Residual income valuation is based on the assumption that the clean surplus relation holds. As pointed out by Ohlson (2000), among others, the standard clean surplus relation is frequently violated. Moreover, standard residual income valuation models rest on the implicit assumption that future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297780
Standard equity valuation approaches (i.e., DDM, RIM, and DCF model) are derived under the assumption of ideal conditions, such as infinite payoffs and clean surplus accounting. Because these conditions are hardly ever met, we extend the standard approaches, based on the fundamental principle of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010306614
The paper studies the effect of uncertainty in tax avoidance on firm value. We first show in a clean surplus valuation model that expected tax rates interact with expectations about future profitability. This paper builds and tests a valuation framework that incorporates two outcome dimensions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325120
Ab 2018 sollen Kreditinstitute in der internationalen Rechnungslegung eine Risikovorsorge für erwartete Verluste bilden. Diese Risikovorsorge für erwartete Verluste wird hier verknüpft mit dem finanzwirtschaftlichen Kalkül in der Kreditvergabeentscheidung. Auf Basis dieses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279463