Showing 1 - 10 of 2,146
We study measures of foreign exchange rate volatility based on high-frequency (5-minute) $/DM exchange rate returns … using recent nonparametric statistical techniques to compute realized return volatility and its separate continuous sample … implied volatility. We find that implied volatility is an informationally efficient but biased forecast of future realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290348
realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting … for this allows improved forecasting of future realized volatility. We investigate the potential forecasting role of … implied volatility backed out from option prices in the presence of these new separate realized volatility components. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290416
liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496054
We offer retrospective and prospective assessments of the Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness research program, combined with personal recollections of its development. Its centerpiece in many respects is Diebold and Yilmaz (2014), around which our discussion is organized.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540961
This paper examines the steady state properties of the Threshold Vector Autoregressive model. Assuming that the trigger variable is exogenous and the regime process follows a Bernoulli distribution, necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of stationary distribution are derived. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611025
weakly autocorrelated and confirmed the presence of long memory as well as short memory in the GARCH volatility, (4) used an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012611443
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340
This paper attempts a re-examination of the relationship between the output volatility and economic growth using an … integrated (HFI) and low financially integrated (LFI) country groups. Overall, the results indicate that output volatility as a … proxy of macroeconomic volatility has negative effect on economic growth. The results appear to be stronger when we include …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001343
Numerous research papers have used Irish-only data to test for the presence of an investment gap for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). In this paper, we use cross country firm-level survey data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys to explore the investment patterns of Irish SMEs in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540437