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the pricing of European-style foreign currency options and for the volatility strike structure implicit in these contracts … is devoloped. The curvature of the volatility strike structure is explained by focusing attention on the expected … characteristic convex shape of volatility strike structures documented in the empirical literature. A volatility-based test for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260624
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261316
Capital controls lower the variability of the exchange rate and reduce the risk premium as well as the domestic interest rate. On the other hand, capital controls reduce the number of noise traders and, therefore, the risk-bearing capacity of the market, leading to higher interest rates and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301757
monetary policy shocks. This result is puzzling. Economic theory suggests that the overshooting should occur immediately after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260546
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
evolves over time and that it is different under different market conditions defined by exchange rate volatility. Further, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322440
Chartanalyse beruhende Regeln dann bewährt haben, wenn diese Zentralbanken am Devisenmarkt intervenierten. Ein ähnlicher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295734
This paper examines the degree of persistence in the volatility of financial time series using a Long Memory Stochastic … Volatility (LMSV) model. Specifically, it employs a Gaussian semiparametric (or local Whittle) estimator of the memory parameter … volatility has a component of long- memory behaviour, the order of integration ranging between 0.3 and 0.5, the series being …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271356
reflect information-driven and noise-induced volatilities. We find that all volatility components reveal distinct dynamics and … significantly declines thereafter. Moreover, news-affected responses in all volatility components are influenced by order flow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274304
Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model … is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295279