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The main goal of this paper is to examine the relationship between macroeconomic shocks and yield curve movements in Hungary. To this end, we apply a Nelson-Siegel type dynamic yield curve model, where changes of the yield curve are driven by two latent factors and some key macro variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322460
debated. Using a cointegrated VAR model of US treasury yields, this paper extends a common approach to test the theory. If, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295270
debated. Using a cointegrated VAR model of US treasury yields, this paper extends a common approach to test the theory. If, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298612
This paper suggests a term structure model which parsimoniously exploits a broad macroeconomic information set. The model does not incorporate latent yield curve factors, but instead uses the common components of a large number of macroeconomic variables and the short rate as explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604590
This paper studies how inflation as a macroeconomic indicator affects nominal bond prices. I consider an economy with a … shocks. It follows that a switch in the regime state affecting the covariance of inflation and consumption growth can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322544
Zinsentwicklungen kein separater Effekt des "Quantitative Easings" der Federal Reserve auf den US-amerikanischen Zins erkennen. Im … Gegenteil, die Bilanz der EZB hat einen höheren Erklärungsgehalt für die Verläufe von Wechselkurs und Inflation als diejenige … inflation than the US-Fed balance sheet, although the ECB has, in contrast to the Fed, not conducted QE policies in the sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014523155
We document the real-time forecasting performance for output and inflation of the New York Fed dynamic stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480389
Despite the single currency, yields on government bonds in the Euro Area deviate from German bond yields. These bond spreads are usually attributed to differing default and liquidity risks. Recent research points out that time-varying global factors, approximated by risk measures or short term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265252
The paper presents a comprehensive data set of all bonds issued by the sixteen German states (L¨ander) since 1992. It thus provides a complete picture of a capital market comparable in size to funds raised in the German fixed income market for corporations. The quantitative analysis reveals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295878
Although the effects of economic news announcements on asset prices are well established, theserelationships are unlikely to be stable. This paper documents the time variation in the responses of yield curves and exchange rates using high-frequency data from January 2000 through August 2011....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333621