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volatility. The research also examines the impact of powerful foreign capital markets on the Greek Stock Exchange market, the … seasonality returns (Day-of-the-Week effect) and the volatility structure. Design/methodology/approach - The analysis of data is …-GARCH model demonstrate that the debt crisis and, therefore, its consequences increase the FTSE / ASE 20 index volatility and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011516729
of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting … errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation measures are … of returns. Explicitly modeling this volatility risk is fundamental. We propose a dually asymmetric realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326350
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
This paper focuses on the extraction of volatility of financial returns. The volatility process is modeled as a … the volatility is not observable, the logarithm of the daily high-low range is employed as its proxy. The estimation of … parameters and volatility extraction are performed using a modified version of the Kalman filter which takes into account the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322165
We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of … sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274489
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260526
In this paper, we investigate the day of the week and the month of the year effects in African stock markets, both in the Gregorian and the Hijri calendars. Specifically, we investigate Monday effect, Friday effect, January effect and Ramadan effect, from January 2009 to December 2019, using OLS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001526
Although the physical and emotional costs of terrorism are widely known, the financial price of terror attacks is still obscure. This paper seeks to examine the heightened uncertainty surrounding terror attacks across the two Germany's largest and most visited cities (in particular, Berlin and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015419563
This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that … application is for volatility forecasts of the Mexican Peso-US Dollar exchange rate, where realized volatility calculated using … intra-day data is used as a proxy for the (latent) daily volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322599
Novel periodic extensions of dynamic long memory regression models with autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic errors are considered for the analysis of daily electricity spot prices. The parameters of the model with mean and variance specifications are estimated simultaneously by the method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325542