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We use realised variances and co-variances based on intraday data from Eurozone sovereign bond market to measure the … dependence structure of eurozone sovereign yields. Our analysis focuses on the impact of news, obtained from the Eurointelligence … and decreases the covariance of distressed countries' yields with German bond yields, suggesting a flight …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605674
In the aftermath of the Great Recession and during the debt crisis in the euro area yields on German federal bonds have been exceptionally low. This analysis tries to calculate the profits that the federal government makes due to the low yields. The interest payments that are due to emissions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287008
Lehman, wurden die Finanzmärkte generell risiko-averser und begannen, Deutschland einen Zinsvorteil als Ausdruck eines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602283
stronger fiscal rules in euro area members reduce sovereign risk premia, in particular in times of market stress. To do so, we … develop a model of sovereign spreads that are determined by the probability of default in interaction with the level of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317343
include a liquidity risk premium. We also allow for liquidity effects in nominal bonds. These results are based on a model … with a systematic liquidity risk factor and asset-specific liquidity characteristics. We show that these liquidity (risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730628
We study the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads across 10 EMU countries between Q1/1999 and Q1/2010. We apply … due to a shift in macroeconomic fundamentals or due to altering risk pricing. We find that at the beginning of EMU, the … government debt level and the general investors' risk aversion had a significant impact on interest differentials. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303780
This paper provides a toolkit for extracting accurate information about inflation expectations using inflation-linked bonds. First, we show how to estimate term structures of zero-coupon real rates and break-even inflation rates (BEIRs) in the euro area. This improves the analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604876
Am 22. Januar 2015 hat der EZB-Rat ein erweitertes Programm zum Ankauf von Vermögenswerten, das sogenannte »Quantitative Easing«, beschlossen. Thomas Jost, Hochschule Aschaffenburg, und Franz Seitz, Ostbayerische Technische Hochschule Weiden, kommentieren diese Entscheidung und ihre Konsequenzen.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693780
emergence of TED spread as a key pricing factor. However, risk-pricing of the South-West Eurozone Periphery countries is not …. We find that Eurozone periphery default risk is priced much higher than the matched countries in 2010, even allowing for … differences in fundamentals. One interpretation is that the market has mispriced risk in the Eurozone periphery. An alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287785
Despite the single currency, yields on government bonds in the Euro Area deviate from German bond yields. These bond … factors, approximated by risk measures or short term interest rates, play an important role for the evaluation of theses risks … find, that default risks measured via expected debt-to-GDP ratio explain a good stake of the variation of bond spreads in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265252