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Modelling portfolio credit risk is one of the crucial challenges faced by financial services industry in the last few years. We propose the valuation model of collateralized debt obligations (CDO) based on copula functions with up to three parameters, with default intensities estimated from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274189
Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as volatility smile. They provide a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275907
Suppose a fund manager uses predictors in changing port-folio allocations over time. How does predictability translate into portfolio decisions? To answer this question we derive a new model within the Bayesian framework, where managers are assumed to modulate the systematic risk in part by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604927
We analyze trading opportunities that arise from differences between the bond and the CDS market. By simultaneously … entering a position in a CDS contract and the underlying bond, traders can build a default-risk free position that allows them … to repeatedly earn the difference between the bond asset swap spread and the CDS, known as the basis. We show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302537
We start by presenting a reduced-form multiple default type of model and derive abstract results on the influence of a state variable X on credit spreads, when both the intensity and the loss quota distribution are driven by X. The aim is to apply the results to a concrete real life situation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281231
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605211
We develop a structural bond pricing approach and implement it on a large panel of US industrial bonds using an … form models. Furthermore, our analysis provide evidence that bond yield spreads incorporate a substantial liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281391
, with evidence from listed firms in Taiwan, pricing options on stocks denominated in different currencies, with theory and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326212
in credit risk modeling: risk-free bond prices, defaultable bond prices (with and without stochastic recovery) and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281181
In order to analyze the pricing of portfolio credit risk – as revealed by tranche spreads of a popular credit default swap (CDS) index – we extract risk-neutral probabilities of default (PDs) and physical asset return correlations from single-name CDS spreads. The time profile and overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295946