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After the global financial crisis, there is greater awareness of the need to understand the interactions between the financial sector and the real economy and hence the potential for financial instability. Data from the financial flow of funds, previously relatively neglected, are now seen as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605626
In New Keynesian as well as in Post Keynesian macroeconomic models, money supply is assumed to be endogenous. The reasons for the endogeneity and the role of the financial sector in the supply process, however, are seen very different. In this paper we explicitly derive the behaviour of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266680
The paper examines three aspects of a financial crisis of domestic origin. The first section studies the evolution of a debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to a credit crunch and fluctuations in the real economy, and, ultimately, to debt deflation. The next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286546
The link between aggregate profits and investment has been widely analysed through the impact of profits on net worth and therefore the firm's ability to borrow, in the presence of credit market imperfections. How the business cycle is affected if profits also affect investment through an impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277796
This paper investigates the role of credit market size as a determinant of business cycle fluctuations. First, using OECD data I document that credit market depth mitigates the impact of variations in productivity to output volatility. Then, I use a business cycle model with borrowing limits a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604789
The financial crisis has enhanced the need for close monitoring of financial flows in the economy of the euro area and at the global level focusing, in particular, on the development of financial imbalances and financial intermediation. In this context flow-of-funds analysis appears particularly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606257
The Kenyan credit market is characterised by imperfections that manifest themselves in imbalances in the form of credit gaps where supply deviates from its long-run trend. This paper extends the analysis of the credit market adjustment process beyond the conventional price mechanism, recognising...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807532
Data from 135 countries covering five decades suggests that creditless recoveries, in which the stock of real credit does not return to the pre-crisis level for three years after the GDP trough, are not rare and are characterised by remarkable real GDP growth rates: 4.7 percent per year in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494539
This paper assesses the linkages between money, credit, house prices and economic activity in industrialised countries over the last three decades. The analysis is based on a fixed-effects panel VAR estimated using quarterly data for 17 industrialized countries spanning the period 1970-2006. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604934
This paper surveys the literature on the linkages between asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes. It focuses on three major questions. First, what are the basic theoretical linkages between asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes? Second, what is the empirical evidence supporting these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060200