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Empirical risk factors in realized stock returns

Novák, Jiří; Petr, Dalibor - 2009

Measuring risk in the stock market context is one of the key challenges of modern finance. Despite of the substantial significance of the topic to investors and market regulators, there is a controversy over what risk factors should be used to price the assets or to determine the cost of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322253

Consumption, wealth and business cycles in Germany

Hamburg, Britta; Hoffmann, Mathias; Keller, Joachim - 2005

This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income in Germany, based on data from 1980 to 2003. While earlier studies – mostly for the Anglo- Saxon economies – have generally documented that departures of these three variables from their common trend...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261168

Consumption, wealth and business cycles: why is Germany different?

Hamburg, Britta; Hoffmann, Mathias; Keller, Joachim - 2005

This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income - the consumption-wealth ratio - in Germany, based on data from 1980 to 2003. Earlier papers for the Anglo-Saxon economies have documented that departures of these three variables from their common trend...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295684

Testing for monotonicity in expected asset returns

Romano, Joseph P.; Wolf, Michael - 2013

Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns strictly increase in an underlying characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one needs to take the entire range of the characteristic into account, as is done in the recent proposal of Patton and Timmermann...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316931

Alterntive tests for monotonicity in expected asset returns

Romano, Joseph P.; Wolf, Michael - 2011

Many postulated relations in finance imply that expected asset returns should monotonically increase in a certain characteristic. To examine the validity of such a claim, one typically considers a finite number of return categories, ordered according to the underlying characteristic. A standard...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316938

Default Risk and Equity Returns: A Comparison of the Bank-Based German and the U.S. Financial System

Breig, Christoph; Elsas, Ralf - 2009

In this paper, we address the question whether the impact of default risk on equity returns depends on the financial system firms operate in. Using an implementation of Merton's option-pricing model for the value of equity to estimate firms' default risk, we construct a factor that measures the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427776

The determinants of stock and bond return comovements

Baele, Lieven; Bekaert, Geert; Inghelbrecht, Koen - 2007

We study the economic sources of stock-bond return comovement and its time variation using a dynamic factor model. We identify the economic factors employing structural and non-structural vector autoregressive models for economic state variables such as interest rates, (expected) inflation,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506640

Equilibrium yield curves under regime switching

García-Verdú, Santiago - 2010

This paper studies how inflation as a macroeconomic indicator affects nominal bond prices. I consider an economy with a representative agent with Epstein-Zin preferences. Regime switching affects the state-space capturing inêation and consumption growth. Thus, the agent is concerned about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322544

The term structure of equity premia in an affine arbitrage-free model of bond and stock market dynamics

Lemke, Wolfgang; Werner, Thomas - 2009

We estimate time-varying expected excess returns on the US stock market from 1983 to 2008 using a model that jointly captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605091

The stable long-run CAPM and the cross-section of expected returns

Kim, Jeong-Ryeol - 2002

The capital-asset-pricing model (CAPM) is one of the most popular methods of financial market analysis. But, evidence … of the poor empirical performance of the CAPM has accumulated in the literature. For example, based on their empirical … results regarding the relation between market Beta and average return, Fama and French (1996) conclude that the CAPM is no …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295722