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realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting … for this allows improved forecasting of future realized volatility. We investigate the potential forecasting role of … implied volatility backed out from option prices in the presence of these new separate realized volatility components. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290416
In this paper, I study the drop of real GDP volatility which has been observed in the United States during the postwar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316043
capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in … evidence for time-varying volatility in the yield factors. This is mostly true for the level and slope volatility revealing … also the highest persistence. It turns out that the inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270702
The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324992
The paper proposes a general asymmetric multifactor Wishart stochastic volatility (AMWSV) diffusion process which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326219
volatility models. We propose a continuous timefractionally integrated Wishart stochastic volatility (FIWSV) process. We derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326243
. This makes the result markedly different from the volatility case. Observationally equivalent decompositions of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326270
Most multivariate variance or volatility models suffer from a common problem, the “curse of dimensionality”. For this … stochastic volatility models. The empirical analysis on stock returns on the US market shows that 1% and 5 % Value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326487
The aim of this paper is to consider multivariate stochastic volatility models for large dimensional datasets. We … suggest use of the principal component methodology of Stock and Watson (2002) for the stochastic volatility factor model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289033
In this paper, we study the dynamic interdependencies between high-frequency volatility, liquidity demand as well as …. Liquidity is causal for future volatility but not vice versa. Furthermore, trade sizes are negatively driven by past trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263738