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analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. … Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … account deficits of countries stabilizing their exchange rate against the euro (euro periphery). Meanwhile, the aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605254
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires … entering the Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM II). The European Central Bank recommends that the ERM II central rate should … estimate real Polish zloty/euro equilibrium rate. Although the main goal of our analysis is to compute measures of current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264576
This study inspects if there is greater convergence with Germany amongst the Eurozone founding members and if their … significantly endogenous. At the same time, to assess the relative dominance of Germany, the features against Germany are compared … remarkable convergence with Germany and across the states but also relative convergence with US. On economic erformance, results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708719
This paper applies the NATREX model of equilibrium exchange rates to evaluate several key studies of the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) in general, with particular emphasis upon the Czech Republic and Hungary and with references to Poland and Bulgaria. On the basis of the NATREX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261174
Results of empirical research have revealed a characteristic hump-shaped effect of monetary policy shocks on output: the effect builds to a peak after several months and then gradually dies out. We analyze, in the context of a "new open economy macroeconomics" model, factors that imply a hump-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260498
A number of empirical studies have reported the result that exchange rates show a delayed overshooting in response to monetary policy shocks. This result is puzzling. Economic theory suggests that the overshooting should occur immediately after the shock, not with a delay. This paper uses a ?new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260546
increased central bank independence, greater focus on inflation policy and more flexible exchange rates. A key lesson of the GFC … stability for a central bank and the policies a central bank can use to manage financial stability; the monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397275
asymmetric current account developments. It identifies the US and Germany as center countries with rising / high current account … deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by current account surpluses of countries stabilizing their exchange … against the euro or members of the euro area (euro periphery). The paper finds that changes of world current account positions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334477
When nontraded goods prices are accounted for consistently and genuine stock data on bilateral foreign asset holdings is employed, a modified sticky-price exchange rate model by far outperforms the benchmark random walk-model in empirically forecasting the D-mark/dollar parity out of sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265449
-interest liquidity trap and economic stagnation for almost two decades. However, in 2013, through massive quantitative easing by the Bank …. Since 2008, quantitative easing by the BOJ has been similar to that carried out by the US Federal Reserve, the Bank of … England, and the European Central Bank. So the BOJ can only be faulted as a currency belligerent if there is a further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397234