Showing 1 - 10 of 13,952
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new … directions. First, the realized variance is a much better estimate of the latent volatility than the sum of the weighted daily … squared returns. As such it is better suited for comparing the out-of-sample performances of competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295725
This paper looks at the interplay of volatility and liquidity on the Euronext trading platform during the December 2 …-traded stocks on Euronext, we study the ex-ante liquidity vs volatility and ex-post liquidity vs volatility relationships to … ascertain if the high volatility led to decreases in liquidity and large trading costs. We show that the provision of liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506571
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … volatility components. From a practical point of view, ML also becomes computationally unfeasible for large numbers of components … forecasts which in principle is applicable for any continuous distribution with any number of volatility components. Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … which in principle is applicable for any continuous distribution with any number of volatility components. Monte Carlo … linear compared to optimal forecasts is small. Extending the number of volatility components beyond what is feasible with MLE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
In this paper we have assessed an influence of the NYSE Stock Exchange indexes (DJIA and NASDAQ) and European Stock indexes (DAX and FTSE) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG within a framework of a GARCH model. By applying a procedure of checking predictive quality of econometric models as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277059
examines how well exchange rate volatility explains movements in stock market returns. The model-based predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292735
In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die Reaktion des DAX auf makroökonomischen Konjunkturmeldungen in Form von Veröffentlichungen des ZEWFinanzmarkttests untersucht. Zur Messung der Reaktion stehen die 15-Sekunden-Intraday- Realisationen des XDAX zur Verfügung. Die mittels Vergleich von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266868
In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die Reaktion des DAX auf makroökonomischen Konjunkturmeldungen in Form von Veröffentlichungen des ZEW-Finanzmarkttests untersucht. Zur Messung der Reaktion stehen die 15- Sekunden-Intraday-Realisationen des XDAX zur Verfügung. Die mittels Vergleich von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297516
making up the Dow Jones Industrial Index, I calculate intraday upside and downside volatility measures, following Becker et … document that for all the stocks in the sample, mean daily returns following the days when a stock's upside volatility measure … was higher or equal to its downside volatility measure are higher than following the days when the opposite relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310234