In this paper, we introduce the MSCI China A-shares index (MCASI) and analyze MCASI's properties. From the perspective of index investment, we found that MCASI's investor sentiments, both overnight sentiment and BW sentiment, provide significant predictability for future MCASI returns, supported...

We consider a system where the asset values of firms are correlated with the default thresholds. We first evaluate the probability of default of a single firm under the correlated assets assumptions. This extends Merton's probability of default of a single firm under the independent asset values...