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data properties. In particular, it is shown that changes in the volatility of the shocks can be used for identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263934
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas in any purely forward-looking model …, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, anticipation amplifies volatility, we obtain ambiguous results when including a …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298830
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285357
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260459
the current account. The theory model allows for the identification of structural shocks in the SVAR using longrun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277812
This paper shows that the explanation of the decline in the volatility of GDP growth since the mid-eighties is not the … decline in the volatility of exogenous shocks but rather a change in their propagation mechanism. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604911
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276271
We study price pressures in stock prices-price deviations from fundamental value due to a risk-averse intermediary … intermediary data reveal economically large price pressures. A $100,000 inventory shock causes an average price pressure of 0 ….28% with a half-life of 0.92 days. Price pressure causes average transitory volatility in daily stock returns of 0.49%. Price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303739
Whether fiscal policy is sustainable depends on a government's future revenue and expenditure streams, both of which are highly uncertain. In commodity-rich countries, this problem is intensified by unpredictable and volatile commodity prices. We show how spending rules for oil income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325791
money demand falls, while a positive goods productivity shock raises temporary output and velocity. The paper explains such … velocity volatility at both business cycle and long run frequencies. With filtered velocity turning negative, starting during … important for velocity during less stable times and the goods productivity shock more important during stable times. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288749