Showing 1 - 10 of 47
We propose an equilibrium framework within which to price financial securities written on non- tradable underlyings such as temperature indices. We analyze a financial market with a finite set of agents whose preferences are described by a convex dynamic risk measure generated by the solution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270699
We analyze the Foster-Hart measure of riskiness for general distributions in dynamic settings. The Foster-Hart measure avoids bankruptcy in the long run. It is not time-consistent.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427177
Dynamic consistency leads to Bayesian updating under expected utility. We ask what it implies for the updating of more … characterize dynamically consistent updating for two important models of ambiguity averse preferences: the ambiguity averse smooth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266275
the database may create an incentive for excessive updating. This leads to conclusions about what should be considered a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296899
proportional to the precision of prior inflation expectations. We also find systematic differences in updating across demographic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333055
impossible under Bayesian updating or after observing extreme signals. However, we also show that polarization can arise after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352846
This paper explores the relationship between dynamic consistency and the existing notions of unambiguous events for Choquet expected utility preferences. A decision maker is faced with an information structure represented by a filtration. We show that the decision maker's preferences respect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422193
Two rationality arguments are used to justify the link between conditional and unconditional preferences in decision theory: dynamic consistency and consequentialism. Dynamic consistency requires that ex ante contingent choices are respected by updated preferences. Consequentialism states that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422198
equivalent consistency under updating characterise a family of capacities, called Genralised Neo-Additive Capacities (GNAC). This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422288
Home price expectations are believed to play an important role in housing dynamics, yet we have limited understanding of how they are formed and how they affect behavior. Using a unique "information experiment" embedded in an online survey, this paper investigates how consumers' home price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011796441