This paper examines the implications of using VARs in levels under the Max Share identification approach when variables exhibit unit or near-unit roots. We derive the asymptotic distributions of the Max Share estimator, demonstrating that it converges to a random matrix, resulting in...

Recent rises in macroeconomic volatility have prompted the introduction of quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) models to forecast macroeconomic risk. This paper provides an extensive evaluation of the predictive performance of QVAR models in a pseudo-out-of-sample experiment spanning 112...

This paper describes a large-scale Canadian macroeconomic database in monthly frequency. The dataset contains hundreds of Canadian and provincial economic indicators observed from 1981. It is designed to be updated regularly through StatCan database and is publicly available. It relieves users...