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Forecasting Euro area industrial production using (mostly) business surveys data
Bruno, Giancarlo; Lupi, Claudio - Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica, Rom - 2003
In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy). The basic idea is that of estimating business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291665
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Business survey data: do they help in forecasting the macro economy?
Hansson, Jesper; Jansson, Per; Löf, Mårten - Konjunkturinstitutet, Stockholm - 2003
This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291666
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A monthly indicator of the business climate in the french service industry : applications of benchmarking techniques in official statistics
Cornec, Matthieu; Deperraz, Thierry - Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes … - 2005
Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291667
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At a turning point? Assessing the first positive signals for the euro-area economy
Melander, Annika; Orellana, Moisés; Paternoster, Daniel; … - 2009
The global economy is in the midst of its deepest and most widespread recession since WW II. The euro-area economy has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291905
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Economic cycles and development aid: what is the evidence from the past?
Hallet, Martin - 2009
This Economic Brief looks at past evidence as to what extent donors' economic cycles have an effect on their aid budgets. It generally finds only a weak correlation of economic growth and aid of OECD donors between 1971 and 2008, and aid was reduced in only about half of all episodes of deep or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291906
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Crisis and reform : Keynote addresses at DG ECFIN's annual research conference
Buti, Marco - 2010
the European economy. It has forced policy-makers in the EU and elsewhere to respond with exceptional measures to counter …. Results of our internal ECFIN analyses have been published in a special issue of European Economy in 2009. Our research work …". Following the Opening Lecture, sessions dealt with the political economy of reform, the design of financial systems and issues …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291907
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Exit strategy: is 1937/38 relevant?
Noord, Paul Joseph van den - 2010
The 1937/38 recession in the United States is often quoted as a warning against premature exits from monetary and fiscal stimulus. The presumption is that the 1937/38 recession was indeed due to such a premature exit. This Economic Brief presents evidence that goes against this view. The 1937/38...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291908
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Distance says it all? What the global crisis tells us about the resilience of Mexico and Brazil
Kooi, Willem - 2010
The economies of Mexico and Brazil have many important commonalities, but Brazil's economy has, so far, shown more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291909