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Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies

Lombardo, Giovanni; Sutherland, Alan - 2003

A two-country sticky-price model is used to analyse the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy. The role of an u0091activistu0092 fiscal policy as a stabilisation tool is considered and a measure of the welfare gains from international fiscal policy cooperation is derived. It is found...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635884

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy

Derviz, Alexis - 2004

The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537

Measuring contagion with a Bayesian, time-varying coefficient model

Ciccarelli, Matteo; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2003

To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coeﬃcient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914

Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices

Gropp, Reint; Moerman, Gerard - 2003

This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520

Inflation and relative price asymmetry

Ratfai, Attila - 2004

. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524

Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics

Trigari, Antonella - 2004

general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527

Monetary policy shocks in the euro area and global liquidity spillovers

Sousa, João; Zaghini, Andrea - 2004

including a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses obtained show that a positive shock to extra-euro area liquidity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636532

What are the spill-overs from fiscal shocks in Europe?

Giuliodori, Massimo; Beetsma, Roel - 2004

We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548