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Using a panel of OECD countries from 1960 to 2002, this paper shows that financial markets value fiscal discipline. Interest rates, particularly those of long-term government bonds, decrease when countries' fiscal position improves and increase around periods of budget deteriorations. Stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639450
We use a panel of 16 OECD countries over several decades to investigate the effects of government debts and deficits on long-term interest rates. In simple static specifications, a one-percentage-point increase in the primary deficit relative to GDP increases contemporaneous long-term interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639471
Fiscal balances have deteriorated quickly in recent years, bringing back to the foreground the question what factors help explain such sharp changes. This paper takes a broad perspective at the issue regarding countries included, the range of explanatory variables tried, and the time-span. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639483
We investigate the impact of fiscal variables on bond yield spreads relative to US Treasury bonds in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Turkey from May 1998 to December 2007. To account for the importance of market expectations we use projected values for fiscal and macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640486
In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640323
mitigated by numerical expenditure rules. These hypotheses are tested against data from a panel of EU Member States. Our key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640386
EU member states over the last decade. Differences emerge for the bias in budgetary projections across countries. As a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636530
This paper presents a two period overlapping generations model with endogenous growth in the presence of a public sector with objectives of convergence for public debt and primary balance to GDP ratios. In order to ensure the existence of converging paths towards the target values of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639435
This paper examines the development of fiscal rules and budget procedures in EU countries, and their impact of public … fiscal discipline in almost all EU countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639480
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640492