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Hubrich, Kirstin - 2003

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inﬂation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954

Aggregation-theoretic monetary aggregation over the euro area, when countries are heterogeneous

Barnett, William A. - 2003

simultaneous use of two inflation indexes over the euro area. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635917

Modelling inflation in the euro area

Jansen, Eilev S. - 2004

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost … growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation …. There is, however, some support in favour of the (reduced form) AWM inflation equation. It is the only model that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636545

Euro area inflation forecasting

Benalal, Nicholai; Diaz del Hoyo, Juan Luis; Landau, Bettina - 2004

In this paper we investigate whether the forecast of the HICP components (indirect approach) improves upon the forecast of overall HICP (direct approach) and whether the aggregation of country forecasts improves upon the forecast of the euro-area as a whole, considering the four largest euro...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639428

Food price pass-through in the euro area

Ferrucci, Gianluigi; Jiménez-Rodríguez, Rebeca; … - 2010

In this paper we analyse the pass-through of a commodity price shock along the food price chain in the euro area. Unlike the existing literature, which mainly focuses on food commodity prices quoted in international markets, we use a novel database that accounts for the role of the Common...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640389

Is there a signalling role for public wages?

Pérez, Javier J.; Sánchez, A. Jesús - 2010

Do public sector wages exert pressures on private sector wages, or has the private sector a leadership role in wage setting? This paper tries to isolate the pure signalling effect that one sector might exert on the other by controlling for other determinants of wages (prices, productivity,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640411

Putting the New Keynesian DSGE model to the real-time forecasting test

Kolasa, Marcin; Rubaszek, Michał; Skrzypczyński, Paweł - 2009

period of 1994-2008. Except for short-term forecasts of inflation and interest rates, it is as good as or clearly outperforms …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640469

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Productivity and the ('synthetic') euro-dollar exchange rate

Schnatz, Bernd; Vijselaar, Focco; Osbat, Chiara - 2003

This paper analyses the impact of productivity developments in the United States and the euro area on the euro-dollar exchange rate. The paper presents a new measure of relative average labour productivity (ALP), which does not suffer from the biases implicit in readily available relative ALP...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639842

The rise of the yen vis--vis the ("synthetic") euro

Osbat, Chiara; Rüffer, Rasmus; Schnatz, Bernd - 2003

This paper examines the long-run determinants of the euro-yen exchange rate. Using cointegration analysis, we find a consistent and significant relationship between the real exchange rate and relative productivity, the net foreign asset position, relative government spending and terms of trade...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639843