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Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

The high-yield segment of the corporate bond market

Bondt, Gabe de; Marqués, David - 2004

This study empirically examines the development of the high-yield segment of the corporate bond market in the United States, as a pioneer country, and the United Kingdom and the euro area, as later adopting countries. Estimated diffusion models show for the United States a significant pioneer...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636536

Why has broad money demand been more stable in the euro area than in other economies?

Calza, Alessandro; Sousa, João - 2003

Based on a literature review, this paper investigates the reasons why broad money demand has usually been found to be more stable in the euro area than in other large economies. The paper concludes that there are three main explanations for this fact. First, in some countries outside the euro...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635916

Is the demand for euro area M3 stable?

Bruggeman, Annick; Donati, Paola; Warne, Anders - 2003

This paper re-examines two data issues concerning euro area money demand: aggregation of national data and measurement of the own rate.The main purpose is to study if euro area money demand is subject to parameter non-constancies using formal tests rather than informal diagnostics. As a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635921

A markup model of inflation for the euro area

Bowdler, Christopher; Jansen, Eilev S. - 2004

Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long-run markup of prices over costs is fixed, but this may not be true for the Euro area economy, which has undergone major structural reforms over the last 25 years. We allow for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636529

Modelling inflation in the euro area

Jansen, Eilev S. - 2004

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation equation of the Area Wide model (AWM) - cf. Fagan, Henry...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636545

Autoregressions in small samples, priors about observables and initial conditions

Jarociński, Marek; Marcet, Albert - 2010

We propose a benchmark prior for the estimation of vector autoregressions: a prior about initial growth rates of the modeled series. We first show that the Bayesian vs frequentist small sample bias controversy is driven by different default initial conditions. These initial conditions are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640277

A stable model for euro area money demand

Beyer, Andreas - 2009

In this paper we present an empirically stable money demand model for Euro area M3. We show that housing wealth is an important explanatory variable of long-run money demand that captures the trending behaviour of M3 velocity, in particular its shift in the first half of this decade. We show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640468

Public finances and long-term growth in Europe

De Ávila, Diego Romero; Strauch, Rolf - 2003

In Lisbon the European Council proclaimed a European growth strategy. It considers an average economic u0093growth rate of around 3 percent as a realistic prospect for the coming yearsu0094 and assigns public finances an important role in the process of achieving this goal. This paper addresses...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635955

Unemployment, hysteresis and transition

León-Ledesma, Miguel; McAdam, Peter - 2003

We quantify the degree of persistence in unemployment rates of transition countries using a variety of methods benchmarked against the EU. In part of the paper, we work with the concept of linear u0093Hysteresisu0094 as described by the presence of unit roots in unemployment. Since this is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635980