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Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
Analysis of the real estate sector in Estonia in recent years: multifactor housing demand and housing supply constraints. Was the price right and is it now? What next?
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641067
The housing sector was a significant driver of Ireland's growth performance during the last decade, reflecting strong country-specific fundamentals. While supply and demand factors can explain much of the developments of prices during last 27 years, there is evidence of overshooting in the later...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641104
The paper summarises UK house price developments since the mid-1990s and reviews evidence of demand and supply factors that have contributed to the house price boom. Strong growth in UK house prices since 1997 is partly explained by rising average incomes and falls in mortgage interest rates....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641106
Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area inflation can be improved by aggregating forecasts of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954
This paper provides a simple weekly model of the regular supply of liquidity in the euro area, with a view to understanding the functioning of the euro area money market. The main result of the analysis is that liquidity has normally been provided by the ECB in a neutral and smooth manner, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635957
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009686312
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036352