Showing 1 - 10 of 114
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The … identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs … apllied to German time-series and cross-section term structure data in order to identify both the risk-neutral and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335223
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
The behaviour of the exchange rate under a floating exchange rate regime for a small open economy with perfect capital mobility may appear like a managed float or even a firmer peg. We present a canonical new neo-classical synthesis open economy model where the central bank follows a strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635960
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
decision problem of using self-governance for risk sharing or governance through enforcement provided by these institutions … prevent first-best risk sharing, but never optimal to provide incentives exclusively via this technology. Commitment problems …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635888
international equity transactions that accentuate the role of international risk sharing as a factor for the macroeconomic response … shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will … for the productivity gains can further increase the risk exposure of foreign shareholders. The model is calibrated to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970
When people share risk in financial markets, intermediaries provide costly enforcement for most trades and, hence, are … an integral part of financial marketsu0092 organization. We assess the degree of risk sharing that can be achieved … allow for optimal risk sharing as long as markets are complete, default is prevented in equilibrium and intermediaries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636542
This paper presents the results of a quantitative study of the implications of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates which was undertaken in the context of the review of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy in Spring 2003. Focusing on the euro area, the paper provides an assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906