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Forecasting Euro area industrial production using (mostly) business surveys data
Bruno, Giancarlo; Lupi, Claudio - Istituto di Studi e Analisi Economica, Rom - 2003
business surveys data and to aggregate the nation-wide forecast into the Euro-zone forecast, we propose using an approach based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291665
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Business survey data: do they help in forecasting the macro economy?
Hansson, Jesper; Jansson, Per; Löf, Mårten - Konjunkturinstitutet, Stockholm - 2003
This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291666
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A monthly indicator of the business climate in the french service industry : applications of benchmarking techniques in official statistics
Cornec, Matthieu; Deperraz, Thierry - Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes … - 2005
Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291667
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ECFIN Economic Briefs
Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291901
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Euro Papers
Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft … - 1999
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335320
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Zero lower bound
Coenen, Günter - 2003
This paper presents the results of a quantitative study of the implications of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates which was undertaken in the context of the review of the ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy in Spring 2003. Focusing on the euro area, the paper provides an assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635906
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Bond market inflation expectations and longer-term trends in broad monetary growth and inflation in industrial countries, 1880 - 2001
Dewald, William G. - 2003
u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial …-country averages. Inflationary expectations as estimated by bond rates less real growth trends indicated little inflation expectation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635923
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Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities
Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003
premia in bond prices. Moreover, the estimated premia vary over time in a quantitatively significant way, which implies that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
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does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?
Hubrich, Kirstin - 2003
series models and distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various … indicate that aggregating forecasts by component does not necessarily help forecast year-on-year inflation twelve months …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635954