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Diversification in euro area stock markets

Moerman, Gerard - 2004

The harmonisation of fiscal and economic policy within the European Monetary Union (EMU) has had a considerable impact on the economies of member countries in the past decade. In particular, several studies indicate that the proceeding economic integration among euro area countries has important...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636550

Growth expectations, capital flows and international risk sharing

Castrén, Olli; Miller, Marcus; Stiegert, Roger - 2003

international equity transactions that accentuate the role of international risk sharing as a factor for the macroeconomic response … shock affecting only one country. Efficient global risk-sharing imply that expected productivity gains in one country will … for the productivity gains can further increase the risk exposure of foreign shareholders. The model is calibrated to show …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970

Modelling inflation in the euro area

Jansen, Eilev S. - 2004

The paper presents an incomplete competition model (ICM), where inflation is determined jointly with unit labour cost growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation equation of the Area Wide model (AWM) - cf. Fagan, Henry...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636545

Optimal dynamic risk sharing when enforcement is a decision variable

Koeppl, Thorsten V. - 2003

decision problem of using self-governance for risk sharing or governance through enforcement provided by these institutions … prevent ﬁrst-best risk sharing, but never optimal to provide incentives exclusively via this technology. Commitment problems …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635888

Risk sharing through financial markets with endogenous enforcement of trades

Köppl, Thorsten V. - 2004

When people share risk in financial markets, intermediaries provide costly enforcement for most trades and, hence, are … an integral part of financial marketsu0092 organization. We assess the degree of risk sharing that can be achieved … allow for optimal risk sharing as long as markets are complete, default is prevented in equilibrium and intermediaries …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636542

Measuring contagion with a Bayesian, time-varying coefficient model

Ciccarelli, Matteo; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2003

To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coeﬃcient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914

Exchange rates and fundamentals

Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003

Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953

Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices

Gropp, Reint; Moerman, Gerard - 2003

This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country … contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520

International equity flows and returns

Albuquerque, Rui; Bauer, Gregory H.; Schneider, Martin - 2004

This paper considers the role of foreign investors in developed-country equity markets. It presents a quantitative model of trading that is built around two new assumptions: (i) both the foreign and domestic investor populations contain investors of different sophistication, and (ii) investor...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636533

Exchange rate risks and asset prices in a small open economy

Derviz, Alexis - 2004

-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be … model is put in the state space form. The unobserved variables span the macroeconomic risk factors with an impact on the … comparison of models allowing for an independent OF risk factor with a restricted one, where the forex order flow plays no role …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537