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This paper assesses the contemporaneous, leading and lagging indicator properties of financial market variables relative to movements in six major developed country currency pairs. As indicator variables changes in various relative asset prices, short-term portfolio flows and currency options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639433
We develop an N-country model with stock markets in which closed-form solutions for the real exchange rate is derived. Our model allows for a given number of risky-assets, which form an incomplete market. Risky asset prices and allocations of risky assets among countries are determined...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639862
analysis extends from 1981-2008, the results for Germany mostly capture the situation before the euro was created. … Germany as center countries with rising / high current account deficits (US) and surpluses (Germany). These are matched by … account deficits of countries stabilizing their exchange rate against the euro (euro periphery). Meanwhile, the aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640332
. The third issue discusses the uncertainty associated to the estimation of a reduced form relationship for the real … exchange rate, concluding that inference can be improved by panel estimation. The fourth and final issue addresses the presence … of strong and weak cross section dependence in panel estimation, suggesting which panel estimators one could use in this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640408
developments in Greece over the period from 1960 to 2007 and discuss these developments in relation to the issue of external … sustainability. Concerns over Greece’s external sustainability have emerged since 1999 when the current account deficit widened …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640297
The paper shows that monetary policy shocks exert a substantial effect on the size and composition of capital flows and the trade balance for the United States, with a 100 basis point easing raising net capital inflows and lowering the trade balance by 1% of GDP, and explaining about 20-25% of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640457
This paper provides a discussion of methodological issues relating to the estimation of the long-run relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639407
The international welfare effects of a country's monetary policy shocks have been controversial in the new open economy macro (i.e., NOEM) literature. While a unilateral monetary expansion increases the production efficiency in each country, it affects the terms of trade in favor of one country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639409
. The paper finds that official communication, as reported by wire services, are effective in influencing the US dollar-euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639417
-time data. We find that such economic news in the United States, Germany and the euro area have indeed been a driving force … behind daily US dollar – euro/DEM exchange rate developments in the period 1993-2003. The larger importance of US … macroeconomic news is at least partly explained by their earlier release time compared to corresponding German and euro area news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639419