Showing 1 - 10 of 66
prior theory and yet it encompasses all standard DSGE models. After introducing this new paradigm I study US monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635920
The rank of the spectral density matrix conveys relevant information in a variety of statistical modelling scenarios. This note shows how to estimate the rank of the spectral density matrix at any given frequency. The method presented is valid for any hermitian positive definite matrix estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639403
This paper applies linear and neural network-based “thick” models for forecasting inflation based on Phillips–curve formulations in the USA, Japan and the euro area. Thick models represent “trimmed mean” forecasts from several neural network models. They outperform the best performing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639406
In this paper we report results on inflation persistence using 79 inflation series covering the EU countries, the euro area and the US for five different inflation variables. The picture that emerges is one of moderate inflation persistence across the board. In particular we find euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639474
VAR studies of the effects of monetary policy on output suggest that a contractionary impulse results in a drawn-out, hump-shaped response of output. Standard structural economic models are generally not able to reproduce such a response. In this paper I look at nonfundamental representations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639839
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537
effects of stock market bubbles can contribute to business cycle synchronisation across economic areas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635970
The overall objective of the present study is to improve the quality the EC and other donors’ media support by providing an analyses of the EC ́s assistance so far and recommendations on future strategies and modalities. This present report focuses on the activities so far, while a separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011887673