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We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548
This paper investigates the in inflationary effects of fscal policy in an optimizing general equilibrium monetary model with capital accumulation, exible prices and wealth effects. The model is calibrated to Euro Area quarterly data. Simulation results show that government defcits, high debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635879
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
We revisit recent evidence on how monetary policy affects output and prices in the U.S. and in the euro area. The response patterns to a shift in monetary policy are similar in most respects, but differ noticeably as to the composition of output changes. In the euro area investment is the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635907
This paper uses a model of import prices whereby exporters to the euro area set export prices partly as a mark-up on their production costs (i.e., the degree of exchange rate pass-through) and partly in line with euro area producer prices (i.e., pricing-to-market). Using both time series and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639848
Recession of 2007-2009 via a Bayesian time-varying parameter structural VAR. We identify a ‘pure’ spread shock which, leaving … inflation. Second, conditional on available estimates of the impact of the FED’s and the Bank of England’s asset purchase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640282
importance of wage bargaining above the firm level, the automatic system of index-linking wages to past inflation, the limited …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640316
-form) properties of the economy. Based on estimated models for the Great Inflation and the most recent period, I show that, as a … played by monetary policy in exacerbating the Great Depression, causing the Great Inflation, or fostering the Great …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640352
We characterise the evolution of the U.S. unemployment-inflation trade-off since the late XIX century era via a … Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR. The Great Inflation episode appears as historically unique along several … inflation and unemployment’s deviations from equilibrium–was, during those years, clearly out of line with respect to the rest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640365