Showing 1 - 10 of 454
situation poses to price stability. We propose to regard the central banker as a risk manager who aims to contain inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639841
estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640402
The paper estimates inflation persistence in Greece from 1975 to 2003, a period of high variation in inflation and … coefficient (RC) modelling, are employed to estimate inflation persistence. The empirical results from all the procedures suggest … that inflation persistence was high during the inflationary period and the first six years of the disinflationary period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639424
In this paper we investigate whether the forecast of the HICP components (indirect approach) improves upon the forecast of overall HICP (direct approach) and whether the aggregation of country forecasts improves upon the forecast of the euro-area as a whole, considering the four largest euro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639428
In this paper we analyse in a mark-up framework the pass-through of commodity price and exchange rate shocks to the main components of producer and consumer prices. Thereby we link movements in prices at the different production stages as firms set their prices as a mark-up over production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640483
This paper proposes a methodology to nowcast and forecast inflation using data with sampling frequency higher than … accurate estimates of inflation for the current and followings months. In particular, this paper uses the Weekly Oil Bulletin …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640700
We examine the performance of forward-looking inflation-forecast-based rules in open economies. In a New Keynesian two … the feedback parameter on inflation if the forecast horizon lies too far into the future. Second, the problem of … central banks respond to expected consumer, rather than pro- ducer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639394
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of monetary policy in a severe recession and deflation when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero. We compare two alternative proposals for ameliorating the effect of the zero bound: an exchange-rate peg and price-level targeting. We conduct this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639404
We find evidence that adopting an explicit inflation objective plays a role in anchoring long-run inflation … expectations and in reducing the intrinsic persistence of inflation. For the period 1994-2003, private-sector long-run inflation … forecasts exhibit significant correlation with lagged inflation for a number of industrial economies, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639437
policy should be passive, to ensure equilibrium determinacy and to minimize variations in output and inflation. This paper … presents evidence that asset markets participation in the US was limited over the Great Inflation period and the slope of the … IS curve had the ’wrong’ sign. Our results may help explain the ’Great Inflation’ and give optimism for FED policy. If …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639468