Showing 1 - 10 of 443
Grey system theory can powerfully deal with incomplete and uncertain information. In this paper, we introduced an …, Population and Energy consumption in the future. - Grey theory ; Markov chain ; prediction ; energy consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958471
Insurance companies have to estimate reserves and provisions to cover the payment of either unreported claims or unsettled claims. In this paper, we apply the Chain-Ladder method to obtain a point estimate of reserves, and then we use the bootstrap technique to estimate the margin of error and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118388
In some circumstances a decision maker, expert, in a group decision making problem cannot express his/her preferences with a unique linguistic fuzzy preference because he/she is dubious into some preferences. In this paper, we present a consensus model for group decision making problems with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118391
The paper intends to measure the daily Value-at-Risk (VaR) for Rial-Euro exchange rate fluctuations risk. Since in this case we deal with a single risk factor, so we will not use the Monte Carlo simulation method to measure the VaR and we will only use the parametric and historical simulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009131
Using the maximum likelihood method, in order to estimate Half-Normal stochastic frontier production models, entails several practical di±culties that, perhaps, have not been su±ciently emphasised. In employing FRONTIER software, we analyse the case in which the estimation obtained suggests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009957389
This paper examines the factors that affect inflows - outflows of capital in bond mutual funds that operated in the Greek market during the period 1997-2005. Investors in bond mutual funds do not seek for high gross returns in order to determine their investment decisions in contrast with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958067
This paper examines both the linear and nonlinear causal relationships between crude oil price changes and stock market returns for the United States. In particular, the study applied a battery of unit root tests to ascertain the time series properties of crude oil price changes and stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958081
Passive investment strategies basically aim to replicate an underlying benchmark. Thereby, the management usually selects a subset of stocks being employed in the optimization procedure. Apart from the optimization procedure, the stock selection approach determines the stock portfolios's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958479
Even though a random walk process is from a statistical point of view not predictable, some movements can be correlated with specific events concerning other variables. Then, predictable patterns may arise being dependent on this joint event. There is evidence given that equity price busts being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958483
Status quo bias is a systematic cognitive error which makes it difficult for individuals to make decisions independently of the currently dominant situation. This study pursues the question of whether bond market analysts are affected by status quo bias. We evaluated interest rate forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958484