This paper aims to examine the influence of the fiscal and budgetary policy to the labour market and how to determine the movement of filled employment positions from one period to another, the gross job creation, the gross job destruction, the job reallocation and the average job vacancies. The...

The identification of real estate cycles has always been an important issue in the study of real estate. This paper selected as indicators the Composite Leading Index and Reference Cycle Index regarding the real estate cycles in Taiwan, as they incorporate real estate activities, such as...

Nach den Wahlen im September sind größere Änderungen beim Einkommensteuertarif zu erwarten. Ferner wird häufig gefordert, Familien mit Kindern stärker zu fördern. Aus diesem Anlass hat das DIW Berlin einige Änderungsvorschläge hinsichtlich ihrer gesamtwirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen...

In this paper we extend the Stock and Watson’s (Leading economic indicators, new approaches and forecasting records, 1991) single-index dynamic factor model in an econometric framework that has the advantage of combining information from real and financial indicators published at different...

We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...

Ein konjunkturbezogenes Transfersystem für die Mitgliedsländer des Euroraums könnte einen Beitrag dazu leisten, zyklische Ungleichgewichte zwischen den Ländern auszugleichen. Ein solches System wird hier in der konkreten Form einer europäischen Arbeitslosenversicherung vorgeschlagen. Durch...

The economies of developed countries of the 21st century benefit from the unseen-till-now prosperity; life standard that suffered a hard landing starting with 2007 and that seems to evolve in a chain-saw model for the crisis development. The forecast is based on the first in, last outʺ...

This paper investigates the relationship between the magnitude of automatic stabilizers in the tax and transfer systems of 19 EU countries and the US, and discretionary fiscal stimulus packages passed by these countries during the recent economic crisis. In particular, we ask whether countries...

The era of US state branching deregulation started in 1970 and ended up with the enactment of the Riegle Neal Act of 1994. One of the purposes of the branching restriction was to avoid bank concentration. The following paper addresses the influence of the state deregulation on commercial...

Besides providing enhanced macroeconomic and financial stability, a commitment to optimum monetary policy conduct in a developing economy like Nigeria could better deliver greater long-run stability of both internal and external macroeconomic factors. The need for an ordered monetary policy...