In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a...

The recent financial crisis renewed concerns about a possible destabilizing impact of derivatives trading. Despite a very active research, the question whether or not derivatives tend to destabilize financial markets has not yet been answered to satisfaction. This contribution aims to revise the...

This article examines the behavior of Treasury bond rates in Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation’s countries. Granger causality tests based on the vector error correction model (VECM) suggest bidirectional Granger causalities between changes in (i) the Canadian and Malaysian Treasury bond rates,...

Using the multivariate regression methodology, we investigate the short-term effect of September 11, 2001 on US defense firms. Our findings suggest that the market differentiated among US defense firms based on the percentage of defense sales to total sales. In addition, the behaviour of the...

This paper reviews endogenous growth theories in the light of the modern reality. It seems that economies which are similar in technologies and preferences are expected to converge to the same level of per capita income. The question "How are repetitions of financial crisis best predicted?" is...

This paper examines both the linear and nonlinear causal relationships between crude oil price changes and stock market returns for the United States. In particular, the study applied a battery of unit root tests to ascertain the time series properties of crude oil price changes and stock market...

Contemporary research documents various psychological aspects of economic thought and decision-making. The main goal of our study is to analyze the role of the hindsight bias (Fischhoff [20]) and the anchoring bias (Tversky and Kahneman [53]) in perceiving economic and financial information,...

This paper discusses the role that financial innovations play in the modern financial system, aiming at identifying and systematizing the core problems and definitions related to this issue. The paper first describes the importance of the financial system and financial markets in the economy,...

This paper aims at testing the influence of Subprime Crisis on Chinese stock market returns. By means of newly proposed time series spatial analysis methodology, we investigate the dominance behavior of daily returns on both Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index and Shenzhen Stock Exchange...

Although bonds are less volatile than equities and the median bond fund holds about 200 bonds, bond investors still need to hold more than one bond fund to realize the optimal benefit of diversification. The simulation results show that three to five bond funds reduce standard deviation of...