Showing 1 - 10 of 180
This article makes an analytical comparison between simple, compound and continuous interest discount factors. It studies the equivalency relations between the three discount factors. An analysis is performed for a limited time period and of normal economy interest rates. It makes use of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118436
Both changing investors’ behaviour and contingent events, such as financial crisis, stimulated a debate around the distribution of financial products for which an active market doesn't exist. Investing in illiquid financial instruments requires a certain degree of financial education in order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010009072
In this study, a vector autoregression (VAR) model with time-varying parameters (TVP) to predict the daily Indian rupee (INR)/US dollar (USD) exchange rates for the Indian economy is developed. The method is based on characterization of the TVP as an optimal control problem. The methodology is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958060
This study examines the impact of volatility shifts on volatility persistence for three major sector indices of … volatility shifts which are determined by using iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) and modified ICSS algorithms such as … Kappa-1 (ê-1) and Kappa-2 (ê-2). The results indicate that the inclusion of volatility shifts in the model substantially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009958079
This paper develops a framework for evaluating the importance of the arrival of new information for forecasting, estimation, and decision making. By fusing known and recently developed statistical tests and concepts, the paper provides guidelines for detecting outliers, influential observations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009959113
Contemporary financial risk management is significantly based on the analysis of time series of returns. One of the most significant errors frequently committed by analysts is the predominant use of normal distributions when it is clear that the returns are not normal. Copula models and models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009959716
Persistent current account deficits were observed in some developing countries that are received substantial foreign capital in the last decades. This has raised the issue of sustainability and increased the volume of studies about the measures of sustainable current account deficits in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118422
The aim of this paper is to empirically investigate the in sample and out of sample forecasting performance of several GARCH-type models such as GARCH, EGARCH and APARCH model with Gaussian, student-t, Generalized error distribution (GED), student-t with fixed DOF 10 and GED with fixed parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010118432
In this study, we treat the seasonal variation in monthly time series in the context of the Western-European tourism demand for Tunisia, by presenting different techniques of detection of seasonality and the parametric and non-parametric approaches of seasonal adjustment. Then, we compare the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010148054
The possible short-run trade-off between the inflation (gap) and the output (gap) remains a critical policy issue for any emerging economy; particularly when an implicit or an explicit inflation targeting monetary policy is considered. The New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) has recently set up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010160677