The identification of real estate cycles has always been an important issue in the study of real estate. This paper selected as indicators the Composite Leading Index and Reference Cycle Index regarding the real estate cycles in Taiwan, as they incorporate real estate activities, such as...

Nach den Wahlen im September sind größere Änderungen beim Einkommensteuertarif zu erwarten. Ferner wird häufig gefordert, Familien mit Kindern stärker zu fördern. Aus diesem Anlass hat das DIW Berlin einige Änderungsvorschläge hinsichtlich ihrer gesamtwirtschaftlichen Auswirkungen...

In this paper we extend the Stock and Watson’s (Leading economic indicators, new approaches and forecasting records, 1991) single-index dynamic factor model in an econometric framework that has the advantage of combining information from real and financial indicators published at different...

We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...

We develop an endogenous growth model with three goods, exportable, importable and non-tradable. We study the response of the real exchange rate and of the economy growth rate to a decrease in the tariff rate. We show that trade liberalization must be followed by a depreciation of the real...

This paper quantifies the welfare cost of consumption externalities in an endogenous growth model with habit formation. Agent’s utility depends on both current consumption and a reference consumption level determined by economy-wide average past consumption. Although utility may be lower in...

We introduce social capital accumulation into a neoclassical model, showing how it differs from physical and human capital accumulation. We take the view that social capital is crucial to the enjoyment of socially provided goods and that it is mainly accumulated by means of participation to...

This paper analyses recycling of waste and downgrading of secondary resources using a classical type of production model represented by a Sraffian model. Residuals emitted as waste by households and secondary resources obtained by recycling of waste are negatively or positively priced, depending...