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Consensus estimates put the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) at about four years (Rogoff, 1996). However, conventional least squares estimates of half-lives are biased downward. Accordingly, as a preferred measure of the persistence of real exchange rate shocks, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604970
We propose a Bayesian procedure to estimate heteroscedastic variances of the regression error term ω, when the form of heteroscedasticity is unknown. The prior information on ω is based on a Dirichlet distribution, and in the Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling, its proposal density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011144000
A definition of selfinformative Bayes carriers or limits is given as a description of an approach to noninformative Bayes estimation in non- and semiparametric models. It takes the posterior w.r.t. a prior as a new prior and repeats this procedure again and again. A main objective of the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956523
Bayes estimates are derived in multivariate linear models with unknown distribution. The prior distribution is defined using a Dirichlet prior for the unknown error distribution and a ormal-Wishart distribution for the parameters. The posterior distribution for the parameters is determined and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956545
In this article, we explain how to calculate adjusted risk ratios and risk differences when reporting results from logit, probit, and related nonlinear models. Building on Stata’s margins command, we create a new postestimation command, adjrr, that calculates adjusted risk ratios and adjusted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010691932
In many meta-analysis cases the estimator of the overall effect in independent trials or experiments leads to unjustified significant results. This paper considers trials with two arms where the summary statistic of interest is either the mean difference or the risk difference. By using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010982381
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533850
Risk difference is an important measure of effect size in biostatistics, for both randomised and observational studies. The natural way to adjust risk differences for potential confounders is to use an additive binomial model, which is a binomial generalised linear model with an identity link...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906924
This paper presents two approaches to modeling the use of IMF resources in order to gauge whether the recent decline in credit outstanding is a temporary or a permanent phenomenon. The two approaches-the time series behavior of credit outstanding and a two-stage program selection and access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825617
This paper has examined the phenomenon of convergence of per capita output levels across regions of Bangladesh during 1982–97. The main finding is that most of the regions of Bangladesh experienced strong convergence of per capita output levels during 1982–91. There are two other findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825646