Does liquidity risk differ depending on our choice of liquidity proxy? Unlike literature that considers common liquidity variation, we focus on identifying different components of liquidity, statistically and economically, using more than a decade of US transaction data. We identify three main...

We provide a synthesis of the empirical evidence on market liquidity. The liquidity measurement literature has established standard measures of liquidity that apply to broad categories of market microstructure data. Specialized measures of liquidity have been developed to deal with data...

This paper studies the effects of multiple investment horizons and investors' bounded rationality on the price dynamics. We consider a pure exchange economy with one risky asset, populated with agents maximizing CRRA-type expected utility of wealth over discrete investment periods. An investor's...

This study employs a new data set to re-examine the book-to-market effect. In contrast to past studies, a direct measure of expected business conditions is used to test whether the value premium is compatible with a risk-based explanation. The measure of expected business conditions is based on...

This study proposes a new price impact ratio as an alternative to the widely used Amihud’s (2002) Return-to-Volume ratio. We demonstrate that the new price impact ratio, which is deemed Return-to-Turnover ratio, has a number of appealing features. Using daily data from all stocks listed on the...

This paper aims at testing for time-variations in herd behavior in stock markets. In particular, we analyze how investors’ behavior differs between times of market turmoil and tranquil trading periods. Thereby, we take into account herding within a certain market as well as international...

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the corresponding price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow is modelled by a random variable that can...

We develop a multivariate dynamic term structure model, which takes into account the nonlinear (time-varying) relation between interest rates and the state of the economy. In contrast to the classical term structure literature, in which nonlinearities are captured by increasing the number of...

Wie alle Vorhersagen weichen auch die ifo Konjunkturprognosen in gewissem Umfang von den später veröffentlichten amtlichen Ergebnissen ab. Um die größtmögliche Transparenz zu gewährleisten, werden hier die ifo Konjunkturprognosen für das reale BIP in Deutschland seit 1991 dokumentiert und...

"The paper investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labor market developments. We...