Over the last 50 years there has been a regular cycle of Government committees which have forecast “shortages” and “surpluses” in medical manpower. It is remarkable how little change there has been in the methods used in these forecasts. This has occurred despite regular critiques of the...

Discounting costs and health benefits in cost-effectiveness analysis has been the subject of recent debate – some authors suggesting a common rate for both and others suggesting a lower rate for health. We show how these views turn on key judgments of fact and value: on whether the social...