Models of the cost of inflation often conclude that inflation misallocates resources. For example, inflation may lead to an increase in the variability of relative prices and it is often claimed that this increase in variability leads to a misallocation of resources. This claim raises the...

"Price and output shock correlations provide information concerning macroeconomic shocks. Previous research generally finds small or negative correlations between real gross domestic product (GDP) and GDP deflator shocks but positive correlations between industrial production (IP) and consumer...

The authors use a data set of inflation expectations that covers twenty years and forty-four countries to investigate the relationship between the level and uncertainty of inflation. While there is strong and robust evidence of a relationship between average inflation and average uncertainty...

In this paper we reexamine the relationship between inflation uncertainty and total output. To properly specify an estimating equation, we investigate the time series properties of two frequently used measures of inflation uncertainty. We fail to reject the hypothesis that each series has a unit...

We examine the behavior of a semimonthly series of the Confederate dollar price of bank notes. These notes traded at par with Confederate dollars from October of 1861 until November 5, 1862. We use a model of the demand for two currencies to argue that this departure from par results from...

Until the 1990s, prices were believed to be procyclical. Several researchers have since presented evidence of counter-cyclical prices. This evidence proved robust, but its interpretation has varied. Some have argued that the contemporaneous correlation between output and prices reflects both the...

Between August 25, 1939 and June 7, 1940, there was a free market for British pounds in New York. German success at the outset of World War II caused the value of free sterling to fall relative to the official exchange rate. This imposed an externality that made it more difficult for Britain to...