This paper applies the Switching ARCH (SWARCH) model of Hamilton and Susmel (1994) to investigate the dynamics of deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) for Malaysia for the sample period 1978-2002. In particular, the deviations (or the risk premium) are modelled as a time series...

This paper compares the effects of pro and counter-cyclical government spending on income inequality and welfare in a small open economy. We examine the consequences of alternative government spending rules following shocks to productivity, domestic interest rates, terms of trade and export...

Along with a number of other central banks around the world the Reserve Bank of Australia has quite explicitly adopted an inflation target. Both the Bank and the Australian Government’s statistical agency (the Australian Bureau of Statistics) report various measures of the underlying rate of...

This paper examines the welfare implications of managing asset-price with consumer-price inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to learn the laws of motion for both inflation rates. Our results show that the Central Bank can reduce the volatility of consumption and asset price...

This paper examines the welfare implications of managing Q with inflation targeting by monetary authorities who have to "learn" the laws of motion for both inflation and the rate of growth of Q. Our results show that the Central Bank can achieve great success in reducing the volatility of GDP...

In this paper we investigate the behaviour of net flows of persons between employment, unemployment and not in the labour force in Australia between 1979-2003 and the relationship of these flows to changes in the unemployment rate over that period. We find that: flows from unemployment to...

We explore a new approach to understanding the evolution of the unemployment rate in Australia. Specifically, we use gross worker flows data to study the consequences of assuming that there is no unique equilibrium rate of unemployment but rather a continuum of stochastic equilibrium rates which...

This paper addresses five related questions. What are the ‘stylised facts’ about the behaviour of flows into and out of unemployment and the Unemployment Rate in Australia, especially in recessions? Why does the number of persons flowing out of Unemployment rise in recessions? How does...