This paper investigates the relationship between output variability and economic growth using a GARCH-M model with industrial production in postwar Great Britain. The data reveals a positive relationship between variability and growth rates. Copyright 1996 by Scottish Economic Society.

The monetary disturbance theory of the Depression, explained by Friedman and Schwartz (1963) asserts that the Depression was so deep and long because the Federal Reserve pursued a tight monetary policy. More recently, Bernanke (1983) has shown that financial market crisis also lowered output in...

<Para ID="Par1">Empirically estimating managerial performance is often quite challenging. Without accurate measurement of managerial output or value added it is difficult to usefully analyze the labor market for managers. This paper uses shot selection between two-point and three-point shots to develop a...</para>

We estimate a time series model of voter turnout for 34 US presidential elections, 1880--2012. Employing a variety of econometric techniques, our major results are as follows. (1) A negative and significant structural shift in voter turnout occurs in 1972 and is too large to be explained by the...