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Tests are made of the stochastic long memory in the Greek stock market, an emerging capital market. The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using the spectral regression method. Contrary to findings for major capital markets, significant and robust evidence of positive long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009206678
This paper investigates the existence of a deterministic nonlinear structure in the stock returns of the Athens Stock Exchange (Greece), an emerging capital market. The analysis utilizes the concepts of correlation dimension and Kolmogorov entropy, and it also includes a forecasting experiment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009206808
We test for stochastic long memory in the Greek stock market, an emerging capital market. The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using the spectral regression method. Contrary to findings for major capital markets, significant and robust evidence of positive long-term persistence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005027803
The long-run saving-investment correlation for the 24 OECD countries is re-examined using the Johansen procedure. It is found that saving and investment rates are not correlated in the long run for the majority of OECD countries. In the countries where cointegration is found, the Gonzalo-Granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005437837
We incorporate managerial risk aversion and stochasticity of takeover synergy gains into Harris' (Harris, E.G. 1990. Antitakeover measures, golden parachutes, and target firm shareholder welfare. Rand Journal of Economics 21, no. 4: 614-25. bargaining model for the coexistence of antitakeover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005438021
We re-examine Sephton and Larsen's (1991) conclusion that cointegration-based tests for market efficiency suffer from temporal instability. We improve upon their research by i) including a drift term in the vector error correction model (VECM) in the Johansen procedure, ii) correcting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968805
We employ a nonlinear, nonparametric method to model the stochastic behavior of changes in several short and long term U.S. interest rates. We apply a nonlinear autoregression to the series using the locally weighted regression (LWR) estimation method, a nearest-neighbor method, and evaluate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968842
Several studies have tested for long-range dependence in macroeconomic and financial time series but very few have assessed the usefulness of long-memory models as forecast generating mechanisms. This study tests for fractional differencing in the U.S. monetary indices (simple sum and divisia)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968856
This paper investigates the presence of fractal dynamics in stock returns. We improve upon existing literature in two ways: i) instead of rescaled-range analysis, we use the more efficient semi- nonparametric procedure suggested by Geweke and Porter-Hudak (GPH, 1983), and ii) to ensure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968869
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011197325