We use non-stationary econometrics to analyze asymmetry and dominance within the EMS through interest rate linkages from April 1983 to the end of 1992. Daily data (French, German and US one-month Eurorates) are used for their better suitability to the analysis of causality. We first show there...

A simple calculation method measures the level of probability of the European Monetary Union (EMU) formation. The equation makes use of forward interest rates with settlement time after January 1, 1999, to determine the number of countries that will abide by EMU's provision for a single...

A simple calculation method measures the level of probability of the European Monetary Union (EMU) formation. The equation makes use of forward interest rates with settlement time after January 1, 1999, to determine the number of countries that will abide by EMU's provision for a single...