In this paper, we present a new time series model, whichdescribes self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) nonlinearityand seasonality simultaneously. The model is termed multiplicativeseasonal SETAR (SEASETAR). It can be viewed as a special case of ageneral non-multiplicativeSETAR model...

Using simulations, the paper shows that there is a trade-off in using CLS and 2SLS on the one hand and ML on the other when estimating the parameters of a bivariate threshold vector equilibrium correction model with regime-specific cointegration vectors.

Using simulations, the paper shows that there is a trade-off in using CLS and 2SLS on the one hand and ML on the other when estimating the parameters of a bivariate threshold vector equilibrium correction model with regime-specific cointegration vectors.

In this paper, we present a new time series model, which describes self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) nonlinearity and seasonality simultaneously. The model is termed multiplicative seasonal SETAR (SEASETAR). It can be viewed as a special case of a general non-multiplicative SETAR...

We compare and investigate Neyman's smooth test, its components, and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) goodness-of-fit test for testing the uniformity of multivariate forecast densities. Simulations indicate that the KS test lacks power when the forecast distributions are misspecified, especially for...

Lagrange multiplier (LM) test statistics are derived for testing a linear moving average model against an asymmetric moving average model and an LM type test against an additive smooth transition moving average model. The latter model is introduced in the paper. The small sample performance of...

We review the past 25 years of time series research that has been published in journals managed by the International Institute of Forecasters (Journal of Forecasting 1982-1985; International Journal of Forecasting 1985-2005). During this period, over one third of all papers published in these...