An important element of the Thai crisis was the sterilisation of reserve outflows by the monetary authorities in an attempt to bailout fragile banks. This paper develops a new second generation currency crisis model to explore the effects of such a policy.

Much of the recent literature on the East Asian crisis of 1997-98 has focused on the sudden capital reversals and the accompanying regional bust. An oft ignored fact is that the bust was preceded by a prolonged boom period. This boom was fuelled primarily by large-scale capital inflows...

The impacts of bank restructuring on the Indonesian macro economy, and its various sectors, especially the agricultural industries, are assessed and analyzed using an Indonesian Forecasting Model. The model is more detailed sector-wise than existing Indonesian CGE models and incorporates...

This paper is aimed at assessing the effects of aid on fiscal behaviour in Indonesia. There are four main findings. First, the inflow of aid is driven primarily by the need to fill the fiscal gap; that is, aid is demand driven. Second, although project aid is by definition intended for...

This paper investigates the effects of real exchange rate depreciation and supply side shocks on exports and imports. Indonesia provides an interesting case study of the subject because this country experienced a large depreciation, banking sector collapse, and socio-political turbulence during...

This paper aims to assess the effects of aid on fiscal behavior in Indonesia. There are four main findings. First, aid inflow is primarily driven by the need to fill the fiscal gap. That is, aid is demand driven. Second, although project aid is by definition intended for development...

With the improvement of relationship with the western countries after the demise of the old order regime of President Soekarno, Indonesia received a large volume of foreign aid that played a crucial role in the recovery of the economy. Indonesia remained a significant recipient of foreign aid...

The huge increase in international reserve holdings by Asian countries since the 1997 crisis has been one of the most important recent developments on the international financial scene. These buildups have contributed substantially to concerns about the creation of excessive global liquidity....