Generalmente se acepta que los mercados que funcionan con expectativas del tipo “telaraña” son ineficientes y que agentes con expectativas correctas podrían explotar esta ineficiencia ya sea a través de convertirse en productores del bien en cuestión o vendiendo las predicciones propias...

The object of this paper is to shed additional light on the much debated issue as to whether futures prices accurately forecast future spot prices or not. In other words, the question is whether or not futures prices incorporate a risk premium. If they do

This paper reviews some of the main findings of recent research on the politics, economics and political economy of regional integration, and assesses Chile's trade and regional integration policies. It concludes that i) Chile is likely to obtain static and dynamic benefits from a FTA with the...

It has been widely argued that, with the decline in trade costs, the importance of distance has declined over time. On the other hand, most gravity models find that the importance of distance has increased over time. This puzzle has not been satisfactorily explained and is examined here. The...

This paper examines the relationship between international migration and source country fertility. The impact of international migration on source country fertility may have a number of causes, including a transfer of destination countries’ fertility norms and an incentive to acquire more...

Based on an economy-wide perspective, this paper begins with a discussion of the bias against exports and agriculture that characterized the economic literature and the development strategies in many developing countries after World War II. This is followed by an analysis of how the...