We study the underground economy in a dynamic and stochastic general equilibrium framework. Our model combines limited tax enforcement with an otherwise standard two-sector neoclassical stochastic growth model. The Bayesian estimation of the model based on Italian data provides evidence in favor...

In this paper, we investigate possible sources of declining economic growth performance in Italy starting around the middle of the ’90s. A long-run data analysis suggests that the poor performance of the Italian economy cannot be ascribed to an unfortunate business cycle contingency. The rest...

We first analyse the general problem of admissible conditioning and next consider the evaluation of the loss of information when a non-admissible conditioning is used as an approximation of the exact posterior distribution. Considering the case of Fisher test, we evaluate from a Bayesian point...