The model is motivated by data showing that the Australian production of local manufactures is hurt by depreciations and invigorated by appreciations. The paper briefly presents such evidence and then proceeds to a theoretical analysis. The model aims at capturing short-to-medium run exchange...

Divide the decisionmaker's future into: (i) a pre-outcome period (lasting from the decision until the outcome of that decision is known), and (ii) a sequel post-outcome period (beginning when the outcome becomes known). Anticipated emotions in both periods may influence the decision, in...

Expected utility theory does not directly deal with the utility of chance. It has been suggested in the literature (Samuelson 1952, Markowitz 1959) that this can be remedied by an approach which explicitly models the emotional consequences which give rise to the utility of chance. We refer to...

Opinion is divided on whether it is better to have a single world   money or variable exchange rates.  Pope, Selten and von Hagen (2003)   propose that fresh light would be shed via an analysis that allows   for seven complexity impacts on the exchange rate that are   underplayed...

The paper traces the dangers in the closed economy perspective of a   monetary policy focused on a domestic inflation goal under a clean   float.  Field evidence of the damage wrought from this perspective is   reinforced by that from a laboratory experiment.  The laboratory  ...

We present a decision theory appropriate for use in serious choices such as insurance. It extends standard decision theories like expected utility or cumulative prospect theory which are atemporal single stage theories. Instead it employs stages of knowledge ahead to track satisfactions and...

The paper re-expresses and complements arguments against the normative validity of expected utility theory in Robin Pope (1983, 1991a, 1991b, 1985, 1995, 2000, 2001, 2005,2006, 2007). The objections concern the neglect of the evolving stages of knowledge ahead (stages of what the future will...

In studies concluding that public debt may hamper GDP growth, the debt tipping effects are estimated as if there were a single global currency. This means that such studies ignore the likely biggest cause of changes in growth rates, namely damage from exchange rate liquidity shocks because we do...