This paper uses data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth to answer two questions about the effects of the Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) program: (1) Does the length of time that one receives AFDC affect the likelihood of permanently leaving AFDC? (2) What personal and...

This article examines the possibility of a ripple effect being present in the UK housing market using a previously unconsidered two-stage procedure. According to Drake, the ripple effect hypothesises that changes in house prices occurs earlier and more extensively in the South East of England...

Business cycle asymmetry is examined using annual observations on GDP for 22 economies over the period 1870 to 1994. The present paper extends recent research in a number of ways. First, a non-parametric testing procedure is adopted which is robust to outliers. Second, alternative methods of...

A reappraisal of previously suggested strategies for betting on football games using results of the period 1975--1981 casts considerable doubt on the profitability of relying on the past history of games for guidance in placing bets.

Research has shown that some water utilities still have a strong preference for using “tried and true” open cut replacement techniques when rehabilitating water pipes in urban areas. Significant cost savings and reductions in carbon emissions can, however, be realised through the...

The power of the recently proposed Escribano–Pfann (1998) model of asymmetry is examined via Monte Carlo simulation. As found previously for an alternative asymmetric model, the power of this model is seen to be low.

Using Treasury forecasts of the growth in real total consumers' expenditure a number of issues in macroeconomic forecasting are addressed. By restricting attention to a single variable, a more detailed examination is provided than is otherwise possible, thus complementing more general studies....