The quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) of parameters in the first-order moving average model can be biased in finite samples. We develop the second-order analytical bias of the QMLE and investigate whether this estimation bias can lead to biased feasible optimal forecasts conditional on...

We study the finite-sample bias and mean squared error, when properly defined, of the sample coefficient of variation under a general distribution. We employ a Nagar-type expansion and use moments of quadratic forms to derive the results. We find that the approximate bias depends on not only the...

The generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator is often used to test for convergence in income distribution in a dynamic panel set-up. We argue that though consistent, the GMM estimator utilizes the sample observations inefficiently. We propose a simple ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator...

We derive some new results on the expectation of quadratic forms in normal and nonnormal variables. Using a nonstochastic operator, we show that the expectation of the product of an arbitrary number of quadratic forms in noncentral normal variables follows a recurrence formula. This formula...

Phillips (1977a, 1977b) made seminal contributions to time series finite-sample theory, and then, he was among the first to develop the distributions of estimators and forecasts in stationary time series models, see Phillips (1978, 1979), among others. From the mid-eighties Phillips (1987a,...

Econometricians have recently been interested in estimating and testing the mean reversion parameter (κ) in linear diffusion models. It has been documented that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of κ tends to over estimate the true value. Its asymptotic distribution, on the other...

We investigate the finite-sample bias of the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) in spatial autoregressive models with possible exogenous regressors. We derive the approximate bias result of the QMLE in terms of model parameters and also the moments (up to order 4) of the error...